Towards Early Warning Systems for Shigellosis in Africa: Multi-Horizon Forecasting of Incidence in Rural Western Kenya Using Statistical State-Space and Machine Learning Models

Billy Ogwel, Brian O. Onyando, Bryan O. Nyawanda, Alex O. Awuor, Joseph Ogutu, John B. Ochieng, Maria Garcia Quesada, Patricia B. Pavlinac, Max Lau, Richard Omore, Elizabeth T Rogawski McQuade

Open source

DOI
10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895
Published
2026-10-21
Container
Not recorded
Publisher
openRxiv
Open access
unknown

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BibTeX

@article{allodium:10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895,
  title = {Towards Early Warning Systems for Shigellosis in Africa: Multi-Horizon Forecasting of Incidence in Rural Western Kenya Using Statistical State-Space and Machine Learning Models},
  author = {Billy Ogwel and Brian O. Onyando and Bryan O. Nyawanda and Alex O. Awuor and Joseph Ogutu and John B. Ochieng and Maria Garcia Quesada and Patricia B. Pavlinac and Max Lau and Richard Omore and Elizabeth T Rogawski McQuade},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895}
}

RIS

TY  - JOUR
TI  - Towards Early Warning Systems for Shigellosis in Africa: Multi-Horizon Forecasting of Incidence in Rural Western Kenya Using Statistical State-Space and Machine Learning Models
AU  - Billy Ogwel
AU  - Brian O. Onyando
AU  - Bryan O. Nyawanda
AU  - Alex O. Awuor
AU  - Joseph Ogutu
AU  - John B. Ochieng
AU  - Maria Garcia Quesada
AU  - Patricia B. Pavlinac
AU  - Max Lau
AU  - Richard Omore
AU  - Elizabeth T Rogawski McQuade
PY  - 2026
DO  - 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895
UR  - https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895
ER  - 

APA

Ogwel, B., Onyando, B. O., Nyawanda, B. O., Awuor, A. O., Ogutu, J., Ochieng, J. B., Quesada, M. G., Pavlinac, P. B., Lau, M., Omore, R., & McQuade, E. T. R. (2026). Towards Early Warning Systems for Shigellosis in Africa: Multi-Horizon Forecasting of Incidence in Rural Western Kenya Using Statistical State-Space and Machine Learning Models. https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.19.26365895

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